Portfolio Update January 2022

It took 20 years to keep my process simple:

1 – Identify primary trend
2 – Focus on leading sectors and industries
3 – Find relative strength within leading sectors and industries
4 – Find consolidation patterns on those leading names in leading sectors in leading industries

— Matt Petrallia (@theEquilibrium) January 27, 2022

“In bear markets, stocks usually open strong and close weak. In bull markets, they tend to open weak and close strong.” – William J. O’Neill

— PBA (@801010athlete) July 16, 2021

This will be the most important chart I post. Was actively trading during the #dot.com era. There was major FOMO at the time.

S&P vs M2 (money supply)

The charts are spartan and get the point across bluntly; use your own judgement of what could possibly happen $btc #Bitcoin pic.twitter.com/mJkC1B6lfH

— Truth Capital (@OnlyCapital) January 13, 2022

Yesterday was an epic day in sports history.
@RafaelNadal won his 21st Grand Slam.

Midway through the match, he had a 4% chance to win.

It was one of the greatest comebacks I've ever seen.

Here are 10 observations I had while watching the most tenacious player on the tour:

— Romeen Sheth (@RomeenSheth) February 1, 2022

Since 2014, Microsoft's Azure business has grown from roughly $500M revenue run-rate to nearly $43B revenue run-rate today. And it is still growing at an astonishing 46% per year.

One of the best examples of great capital allocation and execution in software history.

— Chetan Puttagunta (@chetanp) February 1, 2022

Investor sentiment belongs to bear market, PA says correction in bull market. $ETH pic.twitter.com/wfeJW3qwgI

— Wolf 🐺 (@IamCryptoWolf) January 31, 2022

Let's do some math. In no particular order, over 10-years your portfolio has TWO 300% up legs and TWO 60% drawdowns. Your return: 9.8% per year. Limit the drawdowns to 20% and your return jumps to 26% per year. The first rule for good performance and is NO BIG LOSSES!

— Mark Minervini (@markminervini) January 31, 2022

Jim Simons net worth: $25 billion
Ken Griffin: $25 billion
Ray Dalio: $20 billion

Bernard Arnault: $188 billion

Hedge funds may rule finance, but LVMH rules culture. There's an investing lesson somewhere in here on how to play ETH vs NFTs.

— cyrus.ismoney.eth 🦇🔊🚬🎨👀 (@cyounessi1) January 31, 2022

Comparing $SE to $AMZN – Thoughts from someone who lives in SEA market and invests in Amazon.

This is not a bull or a bear case for either company. It's a concept that may help you better evaluate the prospect of the e-commerce business of both.

— Nayut Sitachitt (@NayutSitachitt) January 29, 2022

I hope you are aware that self growth is a by-product of persisting through many difficult circumstances.

— Peter Brandt (@PeterLBrandt) January 30, 2022

Grab – Uber för Sydostasien (fast bättre!)

– Kvävs av Covid-lockdown
– Läcker pengar
– Aktien ner -60% (1 år)

+ Ett "fem plus" företag IMO
+ Jätteboost när restr. släpper
+ 15 milj betalande kunder/månad

Lagt på min bevakningslista, ej köpt än pic.twitter.com/pf4MPt7siJ

— Ara Mustafa (@SpAraMustafa) January 30, 2022

20 of the smartest things that have ever been said: 🧵

— Blake Burge 💡 (@blakeaburge) January 29, 2022

"The general rule is you want to buy BOs when 10dMA and 20dMA going up and 10dMA above 20dMA" –@Qullamaggie
It's not an exact science, but this rule and the # of setups we get from the scans at a given moment in the market is a powerful indicator for our situational awareness! pic.twitter.com/YGGx4Cgxzp

— Safe_trader (@StatBear) January 28, 2022

“As long as proper tactics are used, short selling is no more dangerous than buying, and everyone should do it in a bear market.”

– Stan Weinstein, Secrets for Profiting in Bull & Bear Markets

— Kevin Marder (@mardermarket) January 28, 2022

What Wall Street doesn't understand about #TeslaBot:

At scale, Tesla will make Bot for less than $10,000 each, maybe less than $5,000.

Once able to perform meaningful tasks it will do $100,000+ of work a year for 10 years.

Input $5000
Output $1M

— Warren Redlich – Come and Take It – Molon TSLA (@WR4NYGov) January 28, 2022

Valuation Scatterplot Update:

Points are color-coded based on % down from 52-week highs (see legend)$STNE: -85%$PTON: -82%$UPST: -77%$TDOC: -76%$PLTR: -70%$ROKU: -68%$MTTR: -63%$SE: -60%$GDRX: -59%$NET: -58%$TWLO: -57%$SOFI: -53%$SHOP: -47%$CRWD: -44%$DDOG: -32% pic.twitter.com/suHiDXOXSt

— Richard Chu (@richard_chu97) January 24, 2022